Mind the Gap: Standard 3DGS Evaluation Primarily Measures Near-Trajectory Interpolation
Standard MipNeRF360-style 3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) evaluation holds out every N-th frame -- but these frames have trained neighbors on both sides, so the metric measures near-trajectory interpolation rather than spatial generalization. We introduce a fair matched-count protocol that isolates this effect: both arms train on the same number of images and differ only in whether the holdout is spread evenly (interpolation) or forms a contiguous spatial sector (extrapolation). Our primary finding is a large, consistent interpolation-extrapolation gap of 3~12dB -- several times the differences typically reported between competing methods. The gap is robust to training noise, is in two cases large enough to flip a method ranking under multi-seed confirmation, and -- crucially -- persists across three representation families, including a non-Gaussian volumetric neural radiance field (NeRF), so it reflects spatial coverage rather than any one representation. Diagnostically, it is dominated by a diffuse/geometry-proxy component and tracks each view's angular distance to its nearest training view, a zero-cost signal that also guides capture planning; loss-side regularization yields only marginal gains. Standard holdouts remain useful for near-trajectory rendering but should not, alone, be read as evidence of spatial generalization. Prior work notes protocol sensitivity; ours is, to our knowledge, the first to combine matched-count paired holdout, cross-representation quantification, and a diagnostic analysis Table 1. We describe a spatial-holdout benchmark toolkit with standardized splits and baselines for 16 scenes, which we are preparing for public release.