Daytime Sea Fog Detection in the South China Sea Based on Machine Learning and Physical Mechanism Using Fengyun-4B Meteorological Satellite

Jie Zheng, Gang Wang, Wenping He, Qiang Yu, Zijing Liu, Huijiao Lin, Shuwen Li, Bin Wen

Sea fog is a major meteorological hazard that severely disrupts maritime transportation and economic activities in the South China Sea. As China’s next-generation geostationary meteorological satellite, Fengyun-4B (FY-4B) supplies continuous observations that are well suited for sea fog monitoring, yet a satellite-specific recognition method has been lacking. A key obstacle is the radiometric inconsistency between the Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager (AGRI) sensors on FY-4A and FY-4B, compounded by the cessation of Cloud–Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) observations, which prevents direct transfer of fog labels. To address these challenges and fill this research gap, we propose a machine learning framework that integrates cross-satellite radiometric recalibration and physical mechanism constraints for robust daytime sea fog detection. First, we innovatively apply a radiation recalibration transfer technique based on the radiative transfer model to normalize FY-4A/B radiances and, together with Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) cloud/fog classification products and ERA5 reanalysis, construct a highly consistent joint training set of FY-4A/B for the winter-spring seasons since 2019. Secondly, to enhance the model’s physical performance, we incorporate key physical parameters related to the sea fog formation process (such as temperature inversion, near-surface humidity, and wind field characteristics) as physical constraints, and combine them with multispectral channel sensitivity and the brightness temperature (BT) standard deviation that characterizes texture smoothness, resulting in an optimized 13-dimensional feature matrix. Using this, we optimize the sea fog recognition model parameters of decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM) with grid search and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms. The validation results show that the RF model outperforms others with the highest overall classification accuracy (0.91) and probability of detection (POD, 0.81) that surpasses prior FY-4A-based work for the South China Sea (POD 0.71–0.76). More importantly, this study demonstrates that the proposed FY-4B framework provides reliable technical support for operational, continuous sea fog monitoring over the South China Sea.